empty
04.03.2025 09:29 AM
Will the U.S. Stock Market Continue to Decline? (Potential Drop in #SPX and #NDX)

The U.S. economy is losing growth momentum, which raises concerns for investors in American financial assets amid uncertainty due to a trade war initiated by Donald Trump against U.S. trading partners.

Data from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) on Monday showed that the Manufacturing PMI fell to 50.3 in the past month from 50.9 in January, below the expected 50.5. The index indicates slower growth in the manufacturing sector due to declining demand, production stabilization, and job cuts. Companies show signs of an initial operational shock from the new administration's tariff policies. Rising prices due to Trump's trade policies have already caused delays in placing new orders, disruptions in supplier deliveries, and an impact on production resources.

New orders have dropped significantly since March 2022, falling to 48.6 from 55.1. Employment has also declined to 47.6 from 50.3, nearing the contraction threshold of 50. The report also points to a sharp slowdown in production, dropping to 50.7 from 52.5 in the previous month. Additionally, price pressures have surged to their highest level since June 2022, rising to 62.4 from 54.9. A similar trend is observed in other manufacturing inventory indicators.

With Canada and Mexico expected to join the trade war against the U.S. today, a 25% tariff on imports from these countries is anticipated. Coupled with signs of a slowing national economy, the U.S. stock market continues its freefall after a brief rebound late last week. This is further exacerbated by China's decision to impose retaliatory tariffs of up to 15% on certain U.S. goods starting March 10. The release of pessimistic economic data, concerns over import tariffs, and geopolitical tensions between Washington and Ukraine have already impacted U.S. stock indices, which fell between 1.5% and 2.5% on Monday.

Crude oil prices for BRENT and WTI remain in a short-term downtrend, experiencing their steepest decline since mid-January. A key factor in this drop was the announcement that OPEC+ will continue its planned production increase in April. This raised fears of rising global supply, which will likely put downward pressure on oil prices. Additionally, the prospect of new U.S. tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico could slow economic growth and reduce oil demand.

The cryptocurrency market experienced a brief rebound over the weekend, sparked by statements from Trump on Truth Social. He claimed that a U.S. crypto reserve would "elevate this critical industry" and reverse the restrictive policies of the previous administration. However, the market crashed on Monday and continues to decline this morning, erasing all previous gains.

Looking at the broader picture, it is clear that Trump's administration is dismantling the geopolitical and economic frameworks established by the Democrats. However, it has yet to produce any tangible positive results—something that would be challenging to achieve in just a month and a half of his presidency.

This image is no longer relevant

This image is no longer relevant

Market Forecast for the Day

#SPX

The S&P 500 CFD contract remains under pressure but is still within the 5807.00–6124.80 range. If the decision to impose higher tariffs on Canadian and Mexican goods is confirmed today, and if Trump signals that this is only the beginning, we could see a breakdown of the lower boundary of this range, leading to a drop to 5700.00.

#NDX

The NASDAQ 100 CFD contract is also under pressure, trading near its support level of 20,500. The technology sector feels the strain from China's retaliatory tariffs, which could significantly impact U.S. tech companies. A further deterioration in the situation could push the contract down to 19,863.00.

Pilih carta masa
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
jam
4
jam
1
hari
1
minggu
Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    SERTAI PERADUAN

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Apa yang Perlu Diberi Perhatian pada 11 April? Ulasan Fundamental dan Peristiwa Penting untuk Pedagang Baharu

Beberapa peristiwa makroekonomi dijadualkan pada hari Jumaat, tetapi tiada satu pun yang dijangka akan memberi kesan kepada pasaran. Sudah tentu, kita mungkin melihat reaksi jangka pendek terhadap laporan individu, tetapi

Paolo Greco 06:04 2025-04-11 UTC+2

Gambaran Keseluruhan GBP/USD. 11 April: Pasaran Tidak Percaya kepada Trump

Pasangan mata wang GBP/USD turut diniagakan lebih tinggi pada hari Khamis. Sebagai peringatan, faktor makroekonomi dan asas tradisional ketika ini hampir tidak memberikan sebarang pengaruh terhadap pergerakan mata wang. Satu-satunya

Paolo Greco 03:28 2025-04-11 UTC+2

Gambaran Keseluruhan EUR/USD. 11 April: Komedi Amerika Berterusan

Pasangan mata wang EUR/USD merosot dengan ketara pada malam Rabu tetapi menunjukkan sedikit pemulihan pada siang hari. Pada hari Khamis, terdapat pertumbuhan seterusnya—siri turun naik ini hanya boleh digambarkan sebagai

Paolo Greco 03:28 2025-04-11 UTC+2

Cadangan dan Analisis Dagangan untuk GBP/USD pada 11 April: Dolar Mengalami Dua Tamparan

Pertukaran mata wang GBP/USD juga menunjukkan pertumbuhan yang kuat pada hari Khamis, walaupun tidak sekuat pasangan EUR/USD. Pound meningkat hanya sekitar 200 pip—yang mana bukan pergerakan yang besar dalam keadaan

Paolo Greco 03:28 2025-04-11 UTC+2

EUR/USD. Isyarat Dari Masa Lalu: Laporan CPI A.S. Gagal Menyokong Dolar

Laporan CPI yang dikeluarkan pada hari Khamis menunjukkan inflasi yang lebih lemah daripada dijangka. Pasaran bertindak balas dengan sewajarnya: dolar A.S. mengalami tekanan baru (Indeks Dolar A.S. jatuh ke dalam

Irina Manzenko 00:47 2025-04-11 UTC+2

Euro Melangkah Maju. Lawan berundur

Kenaikan indeks saham Eropah, penurunan inflasi di AS, dan hakikat bahawa tarif purata AS tidak berubah dengan ketara walaupun terdapat penangguhan selama 90 hari semuanya menyumbang kepada kenaikan EUR/USD. Pasangan

Marek Petkovich 00:47 2025-04-11 UTC+2

China Rancang Mesyuarat Kecemasan dan Tindak Balas Tegas terhadap Amerika Syarikat

Menurut laporan media, kepimpinan tertinggi China dijangka mengadakan mesyuarat tergempar hari ini untuk membincangkan langkah-langkah rangsangan ekonomi tambahan berikutan pengumuman Presiden Donald Trump mengenai kenaikan tarif baharu. Langkah Washington mengenakan

Jakub Novak 12:07 2025-04-10 UTC+2

Trump Menangguhkan Tarif Selama 90 Hari tetapi Menaikkan Kadar untuk China Lebih Tinggi Lagi

Presiden Donald Trump mengumumkan semalam penangguhan kenaikan tarif selama 90 hari yang telah menjejaskan berpuluh-puluh rakan dagang, sambil menaikkan tarif ke atas China kepada 125%. Perubahan dasar presiden itu berlaku

Jakub Novak 11:57 2025-04-10 UTC+2

Trump Berstrategi dalam Perang Perdagangan dengan China (Potensi Pemulihan Berterusan bagi #SPX dan AUD/USD)

Presiden AS terus bergerak aktif, terlibat dalam geopolitik, ekonomi, dan pasaran kewangan global. Para pelabur bertanya: Apa yang berlaku pada hari Rabu? Kenapa Rumah Putih tiba-tiba mengumumkan gencatan atau jeda

Pati Gani 09:56 2025-04-10 UTC+2

Apakah yang Perlu Diberikan Perhatian pada 10 April? Pecahan Acara Asas kepada Pedagang Baharu

Analisis Laporan Makroekonomi: Hanya sedikit acara makroekonomi yang dijadualkan pada hari Khamis, namun laporan inflasi Amerika Syarikat masih mempunyai sedikit kepentingan bagi para pedagang. Buat masa ini, pengaruh inflasi adalah

Paolo Greco 06:49 2025-04-10 UTC+2
Tidak boleh bertanya sekarang?
Tanya soalan anda di Ruangan bersembang.
Panggilan semula Widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.